Scouting Report
Alex Tuch holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crouse shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Crouse 40.8% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 59.1%
Defensive zone
Crouse 57.6%
Neutral zone
Crouse 52.4%
Result
Lawson Crouse favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Tuch
Crouse
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Crouse
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crouse
0
1
Tuch
Crouse
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Crouse
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
38.9% (396)
-0.2%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
39.6% (48)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
39.3% (56)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Tuch has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crouse shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Crouse is 41.3% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Tuch
Crouse
Home
42.1% (394)
40.4% (265)
Away
38.8% (402)
37.4% (235)
By Period
Tuch
Crouse
P1
44.7%
44.1%
P2
40.6%
33.7%
P3
36.0%
37.0%
Final 5 min
39.0%
36.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Crouse
32.0%▼
36.5%
39.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Neutral | Lawson Crouse |