Scouting Report
Macklin Celebrini holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Celebrini on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Celebrini 48.5% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 75.3%
Defensive zone
Tuch 70.5%
Neutral zone
Tuch 69.7%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 73.2%
73.2%
26.8%
Tuch
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Tuch
Celebrini
Last 5: Tuch 1-4 Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
3
Tuch
Celebrini
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Celebrini
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Celebrini
0
1
Tuch
Celebrini
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
47.5% (1,894)
-8.8%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
54.4% (250)
-11.3%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
55.6% (36)
-12.4%
On penalty kill, Celebrini has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Celebrini is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (694).
Home / Away
Tuch
Celebrini
Home
42.1% (394)
48.0% (1,091)
Away
38.8% (402)
48.9% (1,089)
By Period
Tuch
Celebrini
P1
44.7%
47.4%
P2
40.6%
46.6%
P3
36.0%
51.4%
OT
27.3%
47.4%
Final 5 min
39.0%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Celebrini
48.0%▲
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 06:07 | Neutral | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 04:42 | Offensive | Macklin Celebrini |