Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 41.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 46.9% vs Bonino 48.5% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 63.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 82.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 53.3%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 63.9%
63.9%
36.1%
Tuch
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tuch
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
1
0
Tuch
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
44.1% (59)
48.1% (324)
-4.0%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
57.9% (38)
-17.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
44.3% (88)
-11.0%
On power play, Bonino has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. Tuch is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Tuch shoots right. Bonino is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (178).
Home / Away
Tuch
Bonino
Home
46.9% (32)
52.0% (244)
Away
39.5% (43)
43.7% (206)
By Period
Tuch
Bonino
P1
56.3%
48.0%
P2
35.5%
42.9%
P3
27.3%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.9%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
44.0%▲
41.5%
42.7%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |