Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Poehling 48.3% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 89.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 75.8%
Neutral zone
Tuch 56.0%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Tuch
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Tuch
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tuch
2
0
Tuch
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
2
Tuch
Poehling
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Tuch
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
49.6% (2,780)
-10.9%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
51.6% (93)
-8.5%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
41.7% (635)
+1.5%
On even strength, Poehling has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Poehling is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,151).
Home / Away
Tuch
Poehling
Home
42.1% (394)
49.3% (1,706)
Away
38.8% (402)
47.2% (1,802)
By Period
Tuch
Poehling
P1
44.7%
50.8%
P2
40.6%
47.1%
P3
36.0%
47.2%
OT
27.3%
40.0%
Final 5 min
39.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Poehling
60.0%▲
53.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 19:20 | Offensive | Alex Tuch |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:04 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |