Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 47.0% vs Hertl 57.5% (-15.5%)
Offensive zone
Hertl 79.5%
Defensive zone
Tuch 50.5%
Neutral zone
Hertl 56.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Tuch
Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (54)
58.7% (858)
-12.4%
Power Play
33.3% (3)
55.8% (285)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
62.9% (35)
-35.6%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +35.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Tuch is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (43).
Tuch shoots right. Hertl is 60.0% vs right-shot opponents (442).
Home / Away
Tuch
Hertl
Home
48.5% (33)
60.1% (599)
Away
37.1% (35)
56.1% (579)
By Period
Tuch
Hertl
P1
33.3%
52.4%
P2
46.2%
63.9%
P3
52.9%
58.5%
OT
25.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
42.6%
Hertl
66.0%▲
61.0%
58.1%