Scouting Report
Alex Tuch holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Arvidsson 39.6% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Tuch 50.9%
Defensive zone
Tuch 56.7%
Neutral zone
Tuch 52.8%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Tuch
Arvidsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Arvidsson
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
35.5% (242)
+3.2%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
38.9% (36)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
37.5% (8)
+5.7%
On penalty kill, Tuch has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arvidsson shoots right. Tuch is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (155).
Tuch shoots right. Arvidsson is 40.7% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Tuch
Arvidsson
Home
42.1% (394)
31.5% (143)
Away
38.8% (402)
40.6% (143)
By Period
Tuch
Arvidsson
P1
44.7%
35.4%
P2
40.6%
35.9%
P3
36.0%
38.5%
OT
27.3%
16.7%
Final 5 min
39.0%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Arvidsson
36.0%▼
37.5%
36.0%