Scouting Report
Warren Foegele holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Tuch wins 38.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foegele shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tuch 41.5% vs Foegele 47.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tuch 55.0%
Defensive zone
Tuch 57.2%
Neutral zone
Tuch 56.5%
Result
Alex Tuch favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
Tuch
Foegele
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tuch
Foegele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foegele
0
1
Tuch
Foegele
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tuch
Foegele
Edge
Even Strength
38.7% (481)
47.6% (206)
-8.9%
Power Play
43.1% (204)
37.5% (8)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (111)
33.3% (18)
+9.9%
On penalty kill, Tuch has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foegele shoots left. Tuch is 38.2% vs left-shot opponents (641).
Tuch shoots right. Foegele is 55.4% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Home / Away
Tuch
Foegele
Home
42.1% (394)
40.8% (130)
Away
38.8% (402)
52.9% (102)
By Period
Tuch
Foegele
P1
44.7%
53.1%
P2
40.6%
42.5%
P3
36.0%
39.3%
Final 5 min
39.0%
37.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tuch
42.0%▲
40.0%
40.5%
Foegele
36.0%▼
46.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | 3 | 16:16 | Offensive | Warren Foegele |