Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 51.3% vs Lazar 49.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 72.9%
Defensive zone
Lazar 71.3%
Neutral zone
Lazar 50.6%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Turcotte
Lazar
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Turcotte
Lazar
Last 5: Turcotte 2-3 Lazar
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
1
2
Turcotte
Lazar
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte
Lazar
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
0
1
Turcotte
Lazar
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Lazar
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (656)
50.2% (2,665)
+0.9%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
52.3% (65)
+9.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.9% (415)
+58.1%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +58.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lazar shoots right. Turcotte is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (233).
Turcotte shoots left. Lazar is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,288).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Lazar
Home
51.7% (346)
50.1% (1,549)
Away
51.2% (332)
48.2% (1,596)
By Period
Turcotte
Lazar
P1
53.8%
48.9%
P2
53.8%
48.9%
P3
46.5%
49.5%
Final 5 min
47.6%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Lazar
72.0%▲
63.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:39 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 03:54 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 01:53 | Offensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 09:51 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 03:42 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |