Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Yurov on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Turcotte wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Yurov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 54.6% vs Yurov 41.1% (+16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Yurov 70.6%
Defensive zone
Yurov 75.7%
Neutral zone
Yurov 76.7%
Result
Danila Yurov favored at 75.2%
24.8%
75.2%
Turcotte
Yurov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Turcotte
Yurov
Last 7: Turcotte 2-5 Yurov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Yurov
0
1
Turcotte
Yurov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Yurov
1
3
Turcotte
Yurov
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Turcotte
Yurov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Yurov
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (413)
39.7% (491)
+15.3%
Power Play
87.5% (8)
33.3% (15)
+54.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
28.6% (7)
+71.4%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Yurov shoots left. Turcotte is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Turcotte shoots left. Yurov is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Yurov
Home
56.9% (216)
42.2% (251)
Away
54.4% (206)
36.6% (262)
By Period
Turcotte
Yurov
P1
59.5%
35.8%
P2
62.3%
37.3%
P3
43.8%
45.2%
Final 5 min
50.5%
39.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.7%
Yurov
36.0%▬
37.0%
39.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2026 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 12:44 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 09:29 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:22 | Neutral | Danila Yurov |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:39 | Defensive | Danila Yurov |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:34 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 02:44 | Offensive | Danila Yurov |