Alex Turcotte vs Macklin Celebrini
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Turcotte wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Celebrini shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 53.3% vs Celebrini 48.4% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Turcotte 69.3%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 74.9%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 69.4%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
Turcotte
Celebrini
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Turcotte
Celebrini
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte
Celebrini
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte
Celebrini
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Celebrini
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (461)
47.5% (979)
+6.1%
Power Play
70.0% (10)
53.6% (110)
+16.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
56.0% (25)
+44.0%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Celebrini shoots left. Turcotte is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Turcotte shoots left. Celebrini is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (770).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Celebrini
Home
53.2% (263)
47.8% (523)
Away
55.0% (209)
48.7% (591)
By Period
Turcotte
Celebrini
P1
57.2%
47.4%
P2
59.6%
46.6%
P3
44.1%
50.8%
Final 5 min
52.6%
45.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
54.0%
Celebrini
38.0%▼
42.0%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 12:56 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Alex Turcotte |