Scouting Report
Alex Turcotte holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Turcotte on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Turcotte 51.3% vs Beniers 46.6% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Turcotte leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Turcotte 82.8%
Defensive zone
Turcotte 72.6%
Neutral zone
Turcotte 81.9%
Result
Alex Turcotte favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Turcotte
Beniers
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Turcotte
Beniers
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
3
1
Turcotte
Beniers
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turcotte
4
1
Turcotte
Beniers
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Turcotte
1
0
Turcotte
Beniers
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Turcotte
Beniers
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (656)
46.5% (3,825)
+4.6%
Power Play
61.9% (21)
47.8% (360)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.4% (111)
+58.6%
On penalty kill, Turcotte has a +58.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beniers shoots left. Turcotte is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (442).
Turcotte shoots left. Beniers is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,839).
Home / Away
Turcotte
Beniers
Home
51.7% (346)
48.9% (2,195)
Away
51.2% (332)
44.0% (2,101)
By Period
Turcotte
Beniers
P1
53.8%
47.2%
P2
53.8%
47.0%
P3
46.5%
45.7%
Final 5 min
47.6%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Turcotte
40.0%▼
53.0%
51.5%
Beniers
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 03:19 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:53 | Defensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Alex Turcotte |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 02:50 | Defensive | Matty Beniers |