Alexander Burmistrov vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Burmistrov wins 43.9% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burmistrov 43.0% vs McDavid 47.8% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
McDavid leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Burmistrov 80.3%
Defensive zone
Burmistrov 77.4%
Neutral zone
Burmistrov 74.6%
Result
Alexander Burmistrov favored at 77.4%
77.4%
22.6%
Burmistrov
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Burmistrov
McDavid
Last 10: Burmistrov 3-7 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
3
Burmistrov
McDavid
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Burmistrov
McDavid
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
0
5
Burmistrov
McDavid
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burmistrov
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (2,299)
47.7% (8,394)
-5.0%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
52.1% (374)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (230)
43.8% (281)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Burmistrov is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,795).
Burmistrov shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
Home / Away
Burmistrov
McDavid
Home
44.3% (1,431)
49.3% (4,582)
Away
40.9% (1,260)
46.2% (4,467)
By Period
Burmistrov
McDavid
P1
45.1%
46.5%
P2
41.9%
48.7%
P3
41.1%
48.3%
OT
39.1%
42.2%
Final 5 min
39.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burmistrov
46.0%▼
48.0%
42.7%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 15:40 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 08:19 | Offensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Jan 16, 2017 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 23, 2016 | 1 | 15:11 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 3 | 11:21 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 6, 2016 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |