Alexander Burmistrov vs Nathan MacKinnon
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Burmistrov wins 40.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burmistrov 43.0% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Burmistrov 67.2%
Defensive zone
Burmistrov 68.4%
Neutral zone
Burmistrov 66.8%
Result
Alexander Burmistrov favored at 67.1%
67.1%
32.9%
Burmistrov
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Burmistrov
MacKinnon
Last 10: Burmistrov 2-8 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Burmistrov
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
Burmistrov
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
2
5
Burmistrov
MacKinnon
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burmistrov
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (2,299)
46.1% (11,264)
-3.4%
Power Play
51.0% (143)
53.2% (1,421)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (230)
42.8% (502)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Burmistrov is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (896).
Burmistrov shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
Home / Away
Burmistrov
MacKinnon
Home
44.3% (1,431)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
40.9% (1,260)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Burmistrov
MacKinnon
P1
45.1%
47.4%
P2
41.9%
46.6%
P3
41.1%
46.1%
OT
39.1%
48.4%
Final 5 min
39.3%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burmistrov
46.0%▼
48.0%
42.7%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2016 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2016 | 1 | 19:45 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Oct 28, 2016 | 3 | 06:56 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 17:30 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 2 | 04:02 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 03:51 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 3 | 10:54 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 28, 2015 | 1 | 04:48 | Neutral | Alexander Burmistrov |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 15:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 23, 2015 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Alexander Burmistrov |