Alexander Kerfoot vs Derek Stepan
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs Stepan 46.6% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 17-13 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 57.5%
Defensive zone
Stepan 55.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 56.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Kerfoot
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
17
(30 meetings)
13
17
Kerfoot
Stepan
Last 10: Kerfoot 3-7 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Kerfoot
Stepan
10 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Kerfoot
Stepan
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
8
Kerfoot
Stepan
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,849)
46.5% (10,204)
+2.3%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
48.8% (1,593)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
44.2% (1,368)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,378).
Kerfoot shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Stepan
Home
51.0% (1,795)
47.6% (6,608)
Away
44.4% (1,708)
45.5% (6,573)
By Period
Kerfoot
Stepan
P1
47.4%
47.5%
P2
46.0%
45.6%
P3
50.5%
46.8%
OT
29.4%
40.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
47.8%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 10:25 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 2 | 04:55 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 17:38 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 18:58 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 2 | 01:10 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 14:17 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 18:20 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 15, 2021 | 1 | 04:49 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 07:09 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:19 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |