Alexander Kerfoot vs Dylan Cozens
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Cozens holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 50.4% vs Cozens 53.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cozens 75.0%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 65.1%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 54.6%
Result
Dylan Cozens favored at 60.2%
39.8%
60.2%
Kerfoot
Cozens
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kerfoot
Cozens
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Cozens
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cozens
0
1
Kerfoot
Cozens
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Cozens
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (115)
53.2% (634)
+0.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.7% (97)
+42.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
33.3% (6)
-8.3%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +42.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cozens shoots right. Kerfoot is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kerfoot shoots left. Cozens is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Cozens
Home
41.7% (60)
54.8% (383)
Away
58.3% (72)
52.3% (354)
By Period
Kerfoot
Cozens
P1
53.8%
56.0%
P2
50.0%
51.2%
P3
47.8%
53.9%
Final 5 min
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
50.8%
Cozens
62.0%▲
53.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 11:30 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 19:58 | Neutral | Dylan Cozens |