Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 50.4% vs Haula 49.7% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 63.6%
Defensive zone
Haula 56.2%
Neutral zone
Haula 55.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Kerfoot
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Kerfoot
Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
3
Kerfoot
Haula
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (115)
49.9% (747)
+4.0%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.8% (78)
+46.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
42.4% (66)
-17.4%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +46.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Kerfoot is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Kerfoot shoots left. Haula is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Haula
Home
41.7% (60)
48.5% (468)
Away
58.3% (72)
51.1% (423)
By Period
Kerfoot
Haula
P1
53.8%
52.5%
P2
50.0%
51.1%
P3
47.8%
45.9%
Final 5 min
56.5%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
50.8%
Haula
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 11:00 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:47 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Erik Haula |