Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 50.4% vs Drury 57.7% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 76.5%
Defensive zone
Drury 85.6%
Neutral zone
Drury 77.7%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 79.1%
20.9%
79.1%
Kerfoot
Drury
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Kerfoot
Drury
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
0
Kerfoot
Drury
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Drury
0
1
Kerfoot
Drury
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Drury
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Drury
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (115)
60.7% (702)
-6.8%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
40.0% (10)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
50.9% (165)
-25.9%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drury shoots left. Kerfoot is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Kerfoot shoots left. Drury is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Drury
Home
41.7% (60)
58.0% (429)
Away
58.3% (72)
59.2% (448)
By Period
Kerfoot
Drury
P1
53.8%
58.6%
P2
50.0%
57.9%
P3
47.8%
59.2%
Final 5 min
56.5%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
50.8%
Drury
60.0%▲
57.0%
58.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 08:25 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |