Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 50.4% vs Eichel 48.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 77.1%
Defensive zone
Eichel 58.2%
Neutral zone
Eichel 58.6%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Kerfoot
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Kerfoot
Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
2
Kerfoot
Eichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
1
Kerfoot
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (115)
48.2% (909)
+5.7%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.2% (67)
+44.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
41.2% (97)
-16.2%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Kerfoot is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kerfoot shoots left. Eichel is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Eichel
Home
41.7% (60)
48.0% (564)
Away
58.3% (72)
47.9% (509)
By Period
Kerfoot
Eichel
P1
53.8%
49.8%
P2
50.0%
48.6%
P3
47.8%
46.7%
Final 5 min
56.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
50.8%
Eichel
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 08:07 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 03:10 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |