Alexander Kerfoot vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 50.4% vs Pageau 59.0% (-9.1%)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 50.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 61.0%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 50.8%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Kerfoot
Pageau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (115)
59.4% (726)
-5.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
69.0% (42)
+31.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
59.7% (221)
-34.7%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +34.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Kerfoot is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kerfoot shoots left. Pageau is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (723).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Pageau
Home
41.7% (60)
58.4% (430)
Away
58.3% (72)
61.0% (559)
By Period
Kerfoot
Pageau
P1
53.8%
55.4%
P2
50.0%
61.8%
P3
47.8%
61.5%
Final 5 min
56.5%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
50.8%
Pageau
60.0%▬
60.0%
59.9%