Alexander Kerfoot vs Jordan Staal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs Staal 55.3% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 75.6%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 87.8%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 82.1%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 82.5%
82.5%
17.5%
Kerfoot
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
16
(26 meetings)
10
16
Kerfoot
Staal
Last 10: Kerfoot 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
6
1
Kerfoot
Staal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
9
Kerfoot
Staal
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
6
Kerfoot
Staal
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,849)
55.9% (14,654)
-7.1%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
62.7% (1,762)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
47.9% (2,907)
-8.1%
On power play, Staal has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,125).
Kerfoot shoots left. Staal is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (12,805).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Staal
Home
51.0% (1,795)
56.4% (9,699)
Away
44.4% (1,708)
54.3% (9,689)
By Period
Kerfoot
Staal
P1
47.4%
55.2%
P2
46.0%
55.9%
P3
50.5%
54.8%
OT
29.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
49.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
47.8%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |