Alexander Kerfoot vs Jordan Staal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.7% vs Staal 55.3% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Staal leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 73.8%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 85.8%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 82.5%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 81.4%
81.4%
18.6%
Kerfoot
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
16
(26 meetings)
10
16
Kerfoot
Staal
Last 10: Kerfoot 3-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
6
1
Kerfoot
Staal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
1
9
Kerfoot
Staal
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
3
6
Kerfoot
Staal
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (2,767)
56.0% (14,405)
-7.4%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
62.6% (1,691)
-13.9%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (381)
48.1% (2,841)
-8.2%
On power play, Staal has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,074).
Kerfoot shoots left. Staal is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (12,525).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Staal
Home
51.0% (1,760)
56.4% (9,518)
Away
44.0% (1,653)
54.4% (9,484)
By Period
Kerfoot
Staal
P1
47.1%
55.1%
P2
45.6%
56.0%
P3
50.6%
55.0%
OT
29.4%
55.6%
Final 5 min
48.7%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.6%
Staal
42.0%▼
54.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 3 | 17:45 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 13, 2024 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:59 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:19 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:05 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 16, 2024 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 3 | 19:24 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 27, 2024 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:51 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 17, 2023 | 1 | 07:44 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 06:35 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 00:53 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 11, 2019 | 3 | 08:50 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |