Alexander Kerfoot vs Mason McTavish
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 48.7%). Look for McTavish on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — McTavish shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs McTavish 48.7% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
McTavish leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McTavish 51.1%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 61.6%
Neutral zone
McTavish 51.9%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Kerfoot
McTavish
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Kerfoot
McTavish
Last 10: Kerfoot 3-7 McTavish
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McTavish
1
4
Kerfoot
McTavish
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
1
Kerfoot
McTavish
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McTavish
0
2
Kerfoot
McTavish
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
McTavish
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,849)
48.2% (2,790)
+0.6%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
52.8% (436)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
34.3% (35)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Kerfoot has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McTavish shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,125).
Kerfoot shoots left. McTavish is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,158).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
McTavish
Home
51.0% (1,795)
49.8% (1,680)
Away
44.4% (1,708)
47.4% (1,581)
By Period
Kerfoot
McTavish
P1
47.4%
50.0%
P2
46.0%
47.7%
P3
50.5%
48.4%
OT
29.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
47.8%
McTavish
48.0%▲
45.5%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 03:26 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 03:45 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 3 | 02:12 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:43 | Defensive | Mason McTavish |
| Oct 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 14:05 | Offensive | Mason McTavish |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 10:05 | Neutral | Mason McTavish |
| Nov 1, 2023 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |