Alexander Kerfoot vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 50.4% vs Backlund 49.8% (+1.0%)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 63.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 73.3%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 52.8%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Kerfoot
Backlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (115)
50.5% (944)
+3.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
51.5% (66)
+48.5%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
47.1% (297)
-22.1%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +48.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kerfoot is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Kerfoot shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Backlund
Home
41.7% (60)
48.1% (636)
Away
58.3% (72)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Kerfoot
Backlund
P1
53.8%
45.4%
P2
50.0%
54.1%
P3
47.8%
49.2%
Final 5 min
56.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
50.8%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%