Alexander Kerfoot vs Nick Foligno
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 49.9%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 50.4% vs Foligno 49.9% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 55.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 52.0%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 53.5%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Kerfoot
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kerfoot
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (115)
49.5% (291)
+4.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.8% (43)
+44.2%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
47.2% (53)
-22.2%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kerfoot is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Kerfoot shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Foligno
Home
41.7% (60)
48.9% (178)
Away
58.3% (72)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Kerfoot
Foligno
P1
53.8%
43.0%
P2
50.0%
55.9%
P3
47.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
50.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 06:09 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |