Scouting Report
Nicolas Roy holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs Roy 53.0% (-10.6%)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 61.3%
Defensive zone
Roy 69.6%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 56.2%
Result
Nicolas Roy favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Kerfoot
Roy
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (33)
53.9% (449)
-5.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
53.3% (30)
+46.7%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
51.3% (78)
-38.8%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Kerfoot is 52.6% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Kerfoot shoots left. Roy is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Roy
Home
28.0% (25)
54.9% (293)
Away
64.7% (17)
51.9% (264)
By Period
Kerfoot
Roy
P1
47.6%
55.0%
P2
25.0%
51.7%
P3
55.6%
53.7%
Final 5 min
40.0%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
42.9%
Roy
54.0%▲
52.0%
53.5%