Alexander Kerfoot vs Nolan Patrick
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs Patrick 51.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 54.2%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 54.8%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 53.9%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Kerfoot
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kerfoot
Patrick
Last 6: Kerfoot 2-4 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
1
Kerfoot
Patrick
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
1
Kerfoot
Patrick
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Kerfoot
Patrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,849)
50.6% (1,978)
-1.8%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
57.5% (120)
-8.8%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
57.7% (26)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Kerfoot is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (1,378).
Kerfoot shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Patrick
Home
51.0% (1,795)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
44.4% (1,708)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Kerfoot
Patrick
P1
47.4%
52.9%
P2
46.0%
49.1%
P3
50.5%
51.3%
OT
29.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
47.8%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2018 | 3 | 15:59 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 2 | 06:29 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 1 | 17:53 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 1 | 09:41 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Oct 22, 2018 | 1 | 03:23 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |