Alexander Kerfoot vs Paul Stastny
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.9% vs Stastny 55.1% (-7.3%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 88.4%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 78.6%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 86.0%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 85.2%
85.2%
14.8%
Kerfoot
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
15
(22 meetings)
7
15
Kerfoot
Stastny
Last 10: Kerfoot 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Kerfoot
Stastny
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
5
Kerfoot
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
6
Kerfoot
Stastny
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (2,849)
54.6% (10,616)
-5.8%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
59.1% (1,994)
-10.4%
Penalty Kill
39.8% (389)
52.9% (1,119)
-13.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (2,125).
Kerfoot shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Stastny
Home
51.0% (1,795)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
44.4% (1,708)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Kerfoot
Stastny
P1
47.4%
56.3%
P2
46.0%
55.4%
P3
50.5%
53.5%
OT
29.4%
62.9%
Final 5 min
49.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
47.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 11:12 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 1 | 01:05 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 18:39 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 2 | 01:23 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 1 | 02:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 08:21 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 3 | 08:18 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 2 | 19:35 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 2 | 10:08 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 3 | 12:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2018 | 1 | 19:33 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 06:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 18:52 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |