Alexander Kerfoot vs Ryan McLeod
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan McLeod holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McLeod on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kerfoot wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — McLeod shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 47.7% vs McLeod 49.4% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McLeod 50.8%
Defensive zone
McLeod 63.6%
Neutral zone
McLeod 56.3%
Result
Ryan McLeod favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Kerfoot
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kerfoot
McLeod
Last 5: Kerfoot 3-2 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
McLeod
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
1
0
Kerfoot
McLeod
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McLeod
1
2
Kerfoot
McLeod
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (2,767)
50.3% (3,136)
-1.7%
Power Play
48.7% (265)
52.6% (272)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
39.9% (381)
43.0% (582)
-3.1%
On power play, McLeod has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots left. Kerfoot is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,074).
Kerfoot shoots left. McLeod is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,579).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
McLeod
Home
51.0% (1,760)
49.8% (2,033)
Away
44.0% (1,653)
49.0% (1,957)
By Period
Kerfoot
McLeod
P1
47.1%
50.6%
P2
45.6%
48.3%
P3
50.6%
49.8%
OT
29.4%
35.5%
Final 5 min
48.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
47.6%
McLeod
50.0%▬
50.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:37 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 08:01 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 17, 2024 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Ryan McLeod |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:57 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |