Alexander Kerfoot vs Sean Monahan
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 50.4% vs Monahan 52.5% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 64.0%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 54.9%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 51.6%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Kerfoot
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kerfoot
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Kerfoot
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (115)
53.0% (874)
+0.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
54.7% (161)
+45.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
47.5% (101)
-22.5%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +45.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kerfoot is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Kerfoot shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Monahan
Home
41.7% (60)
53.8% (558)
Away
58.3% (72)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Kerfoot
Monahan
P1
53.8%
49.5%
P2
50.0%
54.8%
P3
47.8%
52.8%
Final 5 min
56.5%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
50.8%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 08:18 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |