Alexander Kerfoot vs Steven Stamkos
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 50.4% vs Stamkos 55.4% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 60.6%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 78.4%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 63.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Kerfoot
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kerfoot
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Kerfoot
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (115)
57.1% (368)
-3.2%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
55.2% (96)
+44.8%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
50.0% (10)
-25.0%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Kerfoot is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kerfoot shoots left. Stamkos is 58.6% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Stamkos
Home
41.7% (60)
53.9% (230)
Away
58.3% (72)
59.0% (244)
By Period
Kerfoot
Stamkos
P1
53.8%
56.7%
P2
50.0%
54.1%
P3
47.8%
59.2%
Final 5 min
56.5%
59.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
50.8%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
56.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |