Scouting Report
T.J. Oshie holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Kerfoot wins 58.7% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 46.9% vs Oshie 47.5% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 72.5%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 74.8%
Neutral zone
Oshie 55.2%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Kerfoot
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Kerfoot
Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
Oshie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (100)
48.3% (29)
-3.3%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
46.3% (149)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
35.0% (20)
0.0% (2)
+35.0%
On penalty kill, Kerfoot has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. Kerfoot is 58.7% vs right-shot opponents (63).
Kerfoot shoots left. Oshie is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Oshie
Home
47.6% (84)
55.9% (93)
Away
41.0% (61)
35.6% (87)
By Period
Kerfoot
Oshie
P1
50.9%
50.9%
P2
38.2%
42.9%
P3
44.1%
43.6%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
46.0%▼
54.5%
44.8%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2022 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 13, 2022 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |