Alexander Kerfoot vs William Karlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 50.4% vs Karlsson 54.7% (-6.8%)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 60.5%
Defensive zone
Karlsson 51.9%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 65.9%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Kerfoot
Karlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (115)
58.5% (135)
-4.6%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
80.0% (5)
+20.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (16)
44.4% (18)
-19.4%
On power play, Kerfoot has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Kerfoot is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (74).
Kerfoot shoots left. Karlsson is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Karlsson
Home
41.7% (60)
63.7% (91)
Away
58.3% (72)
49.3% (67)
By Period
Kerfoot
Karlsson
P1
53.8%
54.4%
P2
50.0%
66.7%
P3
47.8%
51.9%
Final 5 min
56.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
54.0%▬
53.0%
50.8%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
57.6%