Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). True wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Howden shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
True 45.9% vs Howden 48.9% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
True 62.0%
Defensive zone
True 58.7%
Neutral zone
True 60.0%
Result
Alexander True favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
True
Howden
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
True
Howden
Last 5: True 1-4 Howden
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: True
1
0
True
Howden
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
0
1
True
Howden
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Howden
0
3
True
Howden
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
True
Howden
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (138)
49.5% (2,926)
-4.6%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.5% (111)
-50.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
43.1% (320)
-43.1%
On power play, Howden has a +50.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Howden shoots left. True is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (107).
True shoots left. Howden is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,170).
Home / Away
True
Howden
Home
46.4% (69)
48.2% (1,630)
Away
40.0% (75)
49.6% (1,727)
By Period
True
Howden
P1
48.1%
49.5%
P2
40.4%
47.9%
P3
40.0%
49.8%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
True
42.0%▬
43.1%
43.1%
Howden
46.0%▬
45.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 18:40 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 09:35 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 05:01 | Neutral | Brett Howden |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 1 | 01:46 | Offensive | Alexander True |