Alexander True vs Mikael Backlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for True on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). True wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
True 45.9% vs Backlund 49.1% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backlund 60.9%
Defensive zone
Backlund 80.1%
Neutral zone
Backlund 69.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 66.6%
33.4%
66.6%
True
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
True
Backlund
Last 6: True 4-2 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
True
Backlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: True
3
1
True
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
True
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (138)
49.7% (13,231)
-4.8%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
51.5% (1,323)
-51.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
43.9% (2,385)
-43.9%
On power play, Backlund has a +51.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. True is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (107).
True shoots left. Backlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (10,786).
Home / Away
True
Backlund
Home
46.4% (69)
49.8% (8,434)
Away
40.0% (75)
48.3% (8,510)
By Period
True
Backlund
P1
48.1%
48.6%
P2
40.4%
50.3%
P3
40.0%
48.4%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
True
42.0%▬
43.1%
43.1%
Backlund
44.0%▬
44.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Alexander True |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 10:46 | Neutral | Alexander True |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 11:15 | Offensive | Alexander True |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 04:39 | Neutral | Alexander True |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 03:57 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |