Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for True on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). True wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
True 45.9% vs Monahan 51.2% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 92.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 73.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 82.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 84.4%
15.6%
84.4%
True
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
True
Monahan
Last 6: True 5-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: True
2
1
True
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: True
2
0
True
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: True
1
0
True
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
True
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (138)
51.1% (11,407)
-6.2%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
53.6% (2,582)
-53.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
45.9% (772)
-45.9%
On power play, Monahan has a +53.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. True is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (107).
True shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
True
Monahan
Home
46.4% (69)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
40.0% (75)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
True
Monahan
P1
48.1%
51.0%
P2
40.4%
51.7%
P3
40.0%
51.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
True
42.0%▬
43.1%
43.1%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2021 | 1 | 16:29 | Offensive | Alexander True |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 2 | 11:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 10, 2020 | 1 | 09:23 | Neutral | Alexander True |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Alexander True |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 2 | 01:43 | Defensive | Alexander True |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 1 | 13:38 | Offensive | Alexander True |