Alexander Wennberg vs Auston Matthews
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 45.3% vs Matthews 57.9% (-14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 58.6%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 58.5%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 58.6%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 58.6%
58.6%
41.4%
Wennberg
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Wennberg
Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
1
Wennberg
Matthews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (618)
58.6% (715)
-13.8%
Power Play
52.4% (191)
65.7% (35)
-13.3%
Penalty Kill
32.5% (117)
57.7% (71)
-25.2%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Wennberg is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Wennberg shoots left. Matthews is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Matthews
Home
45.5% (453)
60.0% (475)
Away
44.2% (473)
57.2% (346)
By Period
Wennberg
Matthews
P1
42.8%
58.3%
P2
43.8%
58.4%
P3
48.3%
59.4%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
44.6%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
32.0%▼
41.5%
44.8%
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
58.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |