Alexander Wennberg vs Brock Nelson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Brock Nelson holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nelson on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Wennberg wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Nelson 50.8% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Nelson leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Wennberg 57.9%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 61.4%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 57.9%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 59.0%
59.0%
41.0%
Wennberg
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
9
(16 meetings)
7
9
Wennberg
Nelson
Last 10: Wennberg 3-7 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
3
4
Wennberg
Nelson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
3
2
Wennberg
Nelson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
3
Wennberg
Nelson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
50.9% (928)
-5.2%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
59.8% (179)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
43.4% (205)
-7.1%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Wennberg is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (881).
Wennberg shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Nelson
Home
47.0% (621)
52.9% (654)
Away
44.7% (635)
48.9% (658)
By Period
Wennberg
Nelson
P1
44.7%
48.4%
P2
46.1%
54.3%
P3
47.2%
50.5%
OT
36.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
45.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 18:26 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 18:04 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 15:47 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 09:35 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 09:15 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 03:47 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 01:03 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:32 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:47 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 3 | 03:57 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |