Alexander Wennberg vs Dylan Larkin
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Wennberg wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Larkin 52.2% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Wennberg 75.6%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 75.2%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 80.8%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 77.6%
77.6%
22.4%
Wennberg
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
12
(17 meetings)
5
12
Wennberg
Larkin
Last 10: Wennberg 3-7 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
3
Wennberg
Larkin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
5
Wennberg
Larkin
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
4
Wennberg
Larkin
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
51.1% (915)
-5.4%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
59.4% (261)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
48.2% (168)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Wennberg is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (881).
Wennberg shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Larkin
Home
47.0% (621)
51.7% (686)
Away
44.7% (635)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Wennberg
Larkin
P1
44.7%
52.5%
P2
46.1%
52.7%
P3
47.2%
51.4%
OT
36.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
45.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 18:20 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 05:44 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 1 | 02:09 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 2, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 16:55 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:13 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 13:52 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 03:15 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |