Alexander Wennberg vs Frederick Gaudreau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Wennberg holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wennberg wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Gaudreau 43.9% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 72.6%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 77.9%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 53.5%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Wennberg
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Wennberg
Gaudreau
Last 7: Wennberg 3-4 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
3
0
Wennberg
Gaudreau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
4
Wennberg
Gaudreau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
44.9% (414)
+0.8%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
31.8% (22)
+21.4%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
38.0% (129)
-1.7%
On power play, Wennberg has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Wennberg is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Wennberg shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Gaudreau
Home
47.0% (621)
42.6% (277)
Away
44.7% (635)
43.1% (288)
By Period
Wennberg
Gaudreau
P1
44.7%
44.1%
P2
46.1%
44.7%
P3
47.2%
39.5%
OT
36.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2025 | 3 | 11:40 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:57 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 09:53 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:27 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |