Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Evans on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wennberg wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Evans 55.0% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 89.6%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 70.6%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 80.1%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 80.1%
80.1%
19.9%
Wennberg
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Wennberg
Evans
Last 8: Wennberg 2-6 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
0
Wennberg
Evans
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
2
Wennberg
Evans
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
4
Wennberg
Evans
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
55.6% (522)
-9.9%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
72.7% (11)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
55.2% (210)
-18.9%
On power play, Evans has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Wennberg is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Wennberg shoots left. Evans is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Evans
Home
47.0% (621)
54.7% (402)
Away
44.7% (635)
56.9% (341)
By Period
Wennberg
Evans
P1
44.7%
57.9%
P2
46.1%
55.2%
P3
47.2%
53.6%
OT
36.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
45.2%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 01:07 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 00:38 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 07:21 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:06 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 11:42 | Defensive | Jake Evans |