Alexander Wennberg vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jesperi Kotkaniemi holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 64.9%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 68.1%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 54.0%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Wennberg
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Wennberg
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Wennberg
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
47.3% (207)
-1.6%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
100.0% (3)
-46.8%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
33.3% (3)
+3.0%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Wennberg is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (881).
Wennberg shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Kotkaniemi
Home
47.0% (621)
46.5% (129)
Away
44.7% (635)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Wennberg
Kotkaniemi
P1
44.7%
51.3%
P2
46.1%
46.1%
P3
47.2%
45.9%
Final 5 min
45.2%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2025 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 7, 2025 | 1 | 13:18 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |