Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Eller 55.0% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 66.1%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 65.1%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 64.3%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Wennberg
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Wennberg
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Wennberg
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Wennberg
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
56.0% (459)
-10.3%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
77.8% (9)
-24.6%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
51.9% (54)
-15.6%
On power play, Eller has a +24.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Wennberg is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (881).
Wennberg shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Eller
Home
47.0% (621)
52.6% (215)
Away
44.7% (635)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Wennberg
Eller
P1
44.7%
54.1%
P2
46.1%
57.6%
P3
47.2%
56.2%
Final 5 min
45.2%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:01 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Lars Eller |