Alexander Wennberg vs Leo Carlsson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Wennberg holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Wennberg wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Carlsson 44.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 50.3%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 59.8%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 50.3%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Wennberg
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Wennberg
Carlsson
Last 8: Wennberg 4-4 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Carlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Carlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
3
Wennberg
Carlsson
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
45.0% (695)
+0.7%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
46.4% (84)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
32.9% (85)
+3.4%
On power play, Wennberg has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Wennberg is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (881).
Wennberg shoots left. Carlsson is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Carlsson
Home
47.0% (621)
42.5% (435)
Away
44.7% (635)
45.5% (429)
By Period
Wennberg
Carlsson
P1
44.7%
45.3%
P2
46.1%
38.7%
P3
47.2%
48.5%
OT
36.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
45.2%
38.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 19:02 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:33 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:40 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |