Alexander Wennberg vs Leo Carlsson

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Alexander Wennberg holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Carlsson on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Wennberg wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Wennberg 46.2% vs Carlsson 44.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Carlsson 50.3%
Defensive zone Wennberg 59.8%
Neutral zone Carlsson 50.3%
Result Alexander Wennberg favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Wennberg Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
4 - 4 (8 meetings)
4
4
Wennberg Carlsson
Last 8: Wennberg 4-4 Carlsson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg Carlsson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg Carlsson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
3
Wennberg Carlsson
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Wennberg
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
45.0% (695)
+0.7%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
46.4% (84)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
32.9% (85)
+3.4%
On power play, Wennberg has a +6.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Wennberg is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (881).
Wennberg shoots left. Carlsson is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Carlsson
Home
47.0% (621)
42.5% (435)
Away
44.7% (635)
45.5% (429)
By Period
Wennberg
Carlsson
P1
44.7%
45.3%
P2
46.1%
38.7%
P3
47.2%
48.5%
OT
36.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
45.2%
38.4%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%
48.0%
45.9%
Carlsson
32.0%
39.0%
44.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 29, 2025 2 12:17 Neutral Alexander Wennberg
Dec 29, 2025 1 19:02 Offensive Alexander Wennberg
Oct 11, 2025 3 15:09 Neutral Leo Carlsson
Oct 11, 2025 3 10:29 Neutral Leo Carlsson
Oct 11, 2025 3 04:39 Defensive Leo Carlsson
Oct 11, 2025 3 00:33 Defensive Alexander Wennberg
Oct 11, 2025 1 11:53 Neutral Leo Carlsson
Oct 11, 2025 1 03:40 Neutral Alexander Wennberg