Alexander Wennberg vs Mathew Barzal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Wennberg holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Barzal 41.9% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 60.5%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 82.4%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 69.2%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 72.7%
72.7%
27.3%
Wennberg
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Wennberg
Barzal
Last 5: Wennberg 4-1 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wennberg
2
0
Wennberg
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
40.9% (469)
+4.8%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
34.2% (38)
+19.0%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
28.6% (7)
+7.7%
On power play, Wennberg has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Wennberg is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Wennberg shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Barzal
Home
47.0% (621)
39.2% (250)
Away
44.7% (635)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Wennberg
Barzal
P1
44.7%
46.3%
P2
46.1%
36.7%
P3
47.2%
38.5%
OT
36.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |