Alexander Wennberg vs Matt Duchene
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Duchene 51.8% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.5%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 69.5%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 51.7%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Wennberg
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Wennberg
Duchene
Last 6: Wennberg 3-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Wennberg
Duchene
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Wennberg
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
51.1% (366)
-5.4%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
61.5% (65)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
16.7% (6)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Wennberg has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Wennberg is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (881).
Wennberg shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Duchene
Home
47.0% (621)
51.7% (201)
Away
44.7% (635)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Wennberg
Duchene
P1
44.7%
49.0%
P2
46.1%
57.1%
P3
47.2%
49.2%
OT
36.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:12 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 17:27 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 17:20 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 16:44 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 06:26 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |