Alexander Wennberg vs Mavrik Bourque
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Wennberg holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Bourque shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Bourque 46.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 52.7%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 54.3%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 50.5%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Wennberg
Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Wennberg
Bourque
Last 6: Wennberg 3-3 Bourque
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Bourque
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bourque
0
1
Wennberg
Bourque
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Wennberg
Bourque
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
46.8% (186)
-1.1%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
23.5% (17)
+29.7%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
42.9% (7)
-6.6%
On power play, Wennberg has a +29.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Wennberg is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Wennberg shoots left. Bourque is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (152).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Bourque
Home
47.0% (621)
41.5% (106)
Away
44.7% (635)
48.1% (104)
By Period
Wennberg
Bourque
P1
44.7%
40.6%
P2
46.1%
39.0%
P3
47.2%
51.7%
Final 5 min
45.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |