Alexander Wennberg vs Mavrik Bourque
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 45.6%). Wennberg wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Bourque shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.3% vs Bourque 46.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 63.9%
Defensive zone
Bourque 59.5%
Neutral zone
Bourque 51.0%
Result
Mavrik Bourque favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Wennberg
Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Wennberg
Bourque
Last 7: Wennberg 3-4 Bourque
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Bourque
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bourque
0
2
Wennberg
Bourque
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Wennberg
Bourque
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (9,327)
46.6% (513)
+0.1%
Power Play
49.5% (1,430)
26.1% (23)
+23.4%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (1,142)
42.9% (28)
-4.2%
On power play, Wennberg has a +23.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Wennberg is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,007).
Wennberg shoots left. Bourque is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Bourque
Home
47.6% (5,997)
47.1% (263)
Away
44.9% (5,902)
44.2% (301)
By Period
Wennberg
Bourque
P1
46.1%
42.7%
P2
46.2%
42.8%
P3
46.6%
50.2%
OT
44.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
46.3%
Bourque
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:04 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | Mavrik Bourque |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 3 | 16:39 | Neutral | Mavrik Bourque |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:17 | Defensive | Mavrik Bourque |