Alexander Wennberg vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Wennberg on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Wennberg wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Backlund 49.8% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Wennberg leads 13-10 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Wennberg 62.0%
Defensive zone
Backlund 82.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 64.5%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Wennberg
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
10
(23 meetings)
13
10
Wennberg
Backlund
Last 10: Wennberg 7-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
9
4
Wennberg
Backlund
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
Wennberg
Backlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
5
Wennberg
Backlund
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
50.5% (944)
-4.8%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
51.5% (66)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
47.1% (297)
-10.8%
On penalty kill, Backlund has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Wennberg is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (881).
Wennberg shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Backlund
Home
47.0% (621)
48.1% (636)
Away
44.7% (635)
51.4% (671)
By Period
Wennberg
Backlund
P1
44.7%
45.4%
P2
46.1%
54.1%
P3
47.2%
49.2%
OT
36.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
45.2%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Backlund
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:58 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:51 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 17:23 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 11:22 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 26, 2026 | 1 | 08:10 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 18:53 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 14:59 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 14:44 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 08:30 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 31, 2026 | 1 | 02:38 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 11:36 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:41 | Neutral | Alexander Wennberg |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |