Scouting Report
Nico Sturm holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Wennberg wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sturm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Sturm 53.6% (-8.7%)
Offensive zone
Wennberg 73.7%
Defensive zone
Sturm 64.9%
Neutral zone
Sturm 51.9%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Wennberg
Sturm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Sturm
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
54.6% (271)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
54.4% (90)
-18.1%
On penalty kill, Sturm has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sturm shoots left. Wennberg is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (881).
Wennberg shoots left. Sturm is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Sturm
Home
47.0% (621)
53.0% (168)
Away
44.7% (635)
56.0% (193)
By Period
Wennberg
Sturm
P1
44.7%
58.2%
P2
46.1%
53.2%
P3
47.2%
52.3%
OT
36.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Sturm
52.0%▼
57.5%
54.6%