Alexander Wennberg vs Oliver Kapanen
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 46.6%). Look for Kapanen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Wennberg wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Kapanen 47.1% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 53.9%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 65.8%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 51.1%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Wennberg
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Wennberg
Kapanen
Last 6: Wennberg 1-5 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Wennberg
Kapanen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
4
Wennberg
Kapanen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
46.5% (527)
-0.8%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
54.8% (42)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
39.5% (38)
-3.2%
On penalty kill, Kapanen has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Wennberg is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Wennberg shoots left. Kapanen is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Kapanen
Home
47.0% (621)
47.0% (315)
Away
44.7% (635)
46.2% (292)
By Period
Wennberg
Kapanen
P1
44.7%
41.6%
P2
46.1%
50.7%
P3
47.2%
47.6%
OT
36.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 17:57 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Alexander Wennberg |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:21 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 19:53 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Oliver Kapanen |