Alexander Wennberg vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.9% vs 46.4%). Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wennberg wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wennberg 46.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.3% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 52.4%
Defensive zone
Wennberg 68.2%
Neutral zone
Wennberg 53.7%
Result
Alexander Wennberg favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
3
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wennberg
1
0
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (827)
46.0% (250)
-0.3%
Power Play
53.2% (250)
70.6% (17)
-17.4%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (179)
31.8% (22)
+4.5%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +17.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Wennberg is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (881).
Wennberg shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (185).
Home / Away
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
47.0% (621)
50.3% (175)
Away
44.7% (635)
40.4% (114)
By Period
Wennberg
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.7%
48.5%
P2
46.1%
45.9%
P3
47.2%
46.5%
OT
36.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.2%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wennberg
42.0%▼
48.0%
45.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
42.0%▼
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 12:50 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 17, 2026 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Alexander Wennberg |